Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 15.402775 17.501277 19.897554 22.862175 26.467564 30.757599 36.321464
2025-06-08 12.340966 14.852098 17.964378 22.186519 27.897349 35.560819 47.007436
2025-06-15 10.804515 13.502551 17.034899 22.144910 29.614789 40.611916 59.064605
2025-06-22 9.383202 12.029287 15.626409 21.071630 29.495843 42.803233 67.316957
2025-06-29 8.261527 10.798278 14.347647 19.914791 28.928670 44.023686 74.171654
2025-07-06 7.466851 9.926614 13.457130 19.174466 28.827015 45.908853 82.850064
2025-07-13 7.555896 10.316961 14.443966 21.483444 34.228404 59.046895 121.147163
2025-07-20 7.272875 10.117746 14.493699 22.243447 37.024338 68.027369 155.585385
2025-07-27 6.750502 9.502501 13.813553 21.636012 37.077525 71.146319 176.082758
2025-08-03 6.538980 9.351157 13.866097 22.334917 39.873312 81.484037 227.663261
2025-08-10 6.171015 8.919038 13.404966 22.013176 40.448630 86.541273 265.578445
2025-08-17 5.852848 8.543607 13.005354 21.754779 41.110849 92.087828 311.977475
2025-08-24 5.568864 8.218971 12.690595 21.676197 42.308059 100.075825 384.068333
2025-08-31 5.229236 7.779496 12.137648 21.054145 42.104918 103.882412 441.684492
2025-09-07 5.004923 7.519072 11.883407 21.015052 43.346711 113.011517 554.303145
2025-09-14 4.672024 7.051641 11.213407 20.015510 41.913292 112.331666 594.229543
2025-09-21 4.355491 6.596230 10.536581 18.936644 40.101061 109.729528 615.642848
2025-09-28 4.112718 6.257383 10.056996 18.245387 39.240933 110.550026 675.667389
2025-10-05 4.232219 6.560812 10.813595 20.399191 46.865970 150.306067 1414.046740
2025-10-12 4.171176 6.536156 10.932216 21.106777 50.492539 176.180643 2320.882458
2025-10-19 3.979876 6.263501 10.538727 20.541289 49.974481 180.818616 2802.833180
2025-10-26 3.923989 6.236613 10.637066 21.191895 53.632241 211.886366 5158.724554
2025-11-02 3.779550 6.037173 10.368763 20.892456 53.983037 223.747981 7280.040637